this last little push in and around bahkmut and donetsk seems to be losing momentum, running out of steam. are the russians going to have anything left for a summer offensive? it seems unlikely to me, but, what the hey, what do i know?
i have read, at various places, that the russians have around 95% of their military assets in the ukraine, 300 to 350 troops. they do not, however, have air cover, their armor is in pretty bad shape, and they seem to be as ill led and unprepared as any troops they've had there before.
they are in pretty bad shape equipment-wise. and, they are even in worse shape for good field grade command, and in terrible shape for experienced non-coms and experienced infantry troops. i don't understand that the morale of the troops is very high either, nor the quality of their chow and "housing."
logistics? planning? adequate field command? intelligence? ammunition supplies? equipment, fuel & maintenance?-- everything seems to be in a shambles. it just is a litany of "from bad to worse."
john jay @ 02.20.2023
post script. (russian war dead (& wounded.) the last that i read, sourced by the ukraine, is that the russian war dead is hovering around 140,000 killed in action, and a roughly like figure of injured and wounded added onto that. and, wounded russians who are surviving their wounds are being sent back into battle from the hospital, and not home for a little rest and recuperation.
this does not make for a happy bunch of soldiers.
it is hard to imagine how anything could be any worse for the russian soldiers in the ukraine. but, i expect that in the next 3 months or so, we are going to witness things go from really bad to far far worse for the russians. about the only tools left in the russian "kit" are bluff, bluster and outright lies. i think these "tools" will avail them little.
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