p'tin's/russia's military has been fought to a standstill in the ukraine, being unable to make advances after ukraine's defenses have stabilized. this ran true around kiev, and it is running true in the southeast of the country. russian ground troops fight with very little zeal. only the air force attacks with much vigor, and that is because they are largely unopposed.***
the ukraine depletes the russian military.
the only thing that p'tin has at his disposal to protect himself and russia from a strong n.a.t.o. response is bluster, and "not so veiled" threats of a nuclear response. well, if that is what the silly fuck wants, give it to him. obliterate russia, and lay about four or five nukes on moscow, and target every missile silo in the damned country.
destroy p'tin, destroy moscow, destroy russia, if that is what the silly fuck wants.
we are heading for wwiii with p'tin at the helm of the russia (the "soviet union" in his imagination.) he is delusional if he thinks that he has the power at his disposal to fend off an all out attack upon russian soil by the combined n.a.t.o. alliance. he is also delusional if he thinks there will be a brick left over if russia sustains a full blown nuclear assault by the u.s. and its allies. there will not be enough people left over to populate a good sized bridge tournament. simple as that.
russia will be reduced to a country in the east where the mainstay of those left behind will be trapping and wearing furs. china will seize that in relatively short order.
now, the question becomes, how much damage can the u.s. and europe expect to sustain from russian forces in response to an all out preemptive strike? it is a matter somewhat in doubt, as far as i can discern. russia nominally has a lot of nukes, and a lot of long range missiles. just as they have a lot of other "nominal" conventional weaponry such as tanks, supply trucks, and the like, none of which runs or functions with any particular degree of reliability.
so, the issue is, how strong is the russian nuclear component? will it get missiles out of the silo, and missiles into orbital and sub-orbital trajectories? can they hit the broad side of a barn? and, will the warheads function at full calculated yield.?
the crucial issue being, how much launch capability do they retain after a full scale preemptive attack?
and, the other crucial issue being, just how likely is vladimir p'tin to survive a full scale, balls to the walls, preemptive nuclear attack on moscow, and all the launch sites in the soviet union (remember, this is p'tin's mind we are talking about)/russia? how likely is he to be converted into atomic molecules and smoke and ash?
will p'tiin launch, if he is assured that he brings about his own death?
i don't think so. what do you think? what does the feeble twit biden think, and, more importantly, what do the joint chiefs of staff and their nuclear launch people think?
i say, give the ukrainians every thing they need to kick the russians out of the ukraine, and let us find out.
john jay @ 04.27.2022
*** yes, yes, yes, ... , by all means. give the ukraine fighter planes, of any sort .... they will inflict damage on russian planes and pilots, flying anything at their disposal. bravery and resolve mean a lot, even in technologically advanced weaponry.
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