update, 03.21.2013: wreckage off the coast of australia? australia announces satellite images of possible wreckage about 1,000 miles southwest of/from perth, australia in a very deep portion of the indian ocean. it may be up to 48 hours before confirmation or denial of the floating objects being part of mh370 is made.
in an odd sort of way, i hope it is the plane. that end, as bad as it would be, is better than having the plane running around loose in the hands of terrorists. end update.
just a week ago, it seemed a long time since i wrote a piece called "war and logic," which examined the impetus to war presented israel by iran's drive to a nuclear weapon. after the hijacking of the malaysian boeing 777er, it seems only yesterday, so fresh are the conclusions from my previous essay to me. and, so compelling the logic that dictates war.
please see, http://wintersoldier2008.typepad.com/summer_patriot_winter_sol/2008/05/war-and-logic.html .
while being previously interviewed by pamela geller, caroline glick said this:
caroline glick, interviewed at atasshrugs by pamela geller on may 28, 2008 forecast the outcome of this logic in a sort of offhand summation yet did not, unfortunately, expand upon the premises driving her conclusion. [link.] ms. glick said of the iranian nuclear weapons program and its goal to build a nuclear bomb, to the effect, “yeah, and when they test it, it will be on tel aviv.” this communicated, perhaps, a mere fatalistic resignation given the tenor of violence, vitriol and hatred directed at israel and spewed by arab regimes, led, of course, by iran and supported in chorus by the region over.
in an instant after reading that, i adopted ms. glick's conclusion. the article linked above, "war and logic," was an exploration of the compelling logic behind ms. glick's observations. the closer israel thinks iran to the bomb, the more pressure on israel to strike preemptively.
the observations of ms. glick pointed then, therefore, and they point now, to the tremendous pressures placed on israel to strike iran in self defense as the israeli conclusion that iran possesses nuclear capability become stronger. at some point, and we are very very near that point if israel concludes that iran has the malaysian jet, israel is compelled to strike in order to prevent being bombed by a nuclear device. the logic is absolutely compelling, and absolutely inescapable.
and, i would point out to you the observation of reader "david y" to the previous post, that the first test of the nuclear weapon in new mexico, so many years ago, was not of a weapon but, in essence, a very loud and bright science project. it is my memory that the u.s. had never tested the atom bomb in an airplane drop, before dropping "the fat boy" from the enola gay.
if iran has what it thinks is bomb that will go bang, it is placed in the position of having to first drop it on jerusalem or tel aviv, to see whether in fact it will go bang. or, as "david y" so succinctly pointed out, to fly it there in a large jet, and explode the whole contraption. sort of a flying version of the control tower used in the first u.s. explosion of a nuclear weapon.
i think we are in a very dangerous situation right now, in that israel has now been placed in the precise situation of iran having exploded a test weapon, if her intelligence and intelligence assessments lead her to believe that iran has, if not a weapon capable of being delivered by a missile, then a contraption, a "control tower" if you will, that is capable of being flown to israel in a captured boeing 777er.
if israel comes to that conclusion, she can do naught but strike iran the first blow, and try to take out her ability to load such a contraption on a captured plane, if she believes iran has the plane.
what else can she do? sit back and see her society, her nation, destroyed?
john jay @ 03.20.2014
That...,or Israel is forced to shoot down nearly every airliner that enters her airspace.
Posted by: Friend Fuchs | March 21, 2014 at 08:17 AM
terry:
it sounds macabre, but i am hoping that the "wreckage" spotted off the coast of australia is indeed that. and, that it is from mh370.
better that, than to have a 777 running around loose, unaccounted for.
ticklish here for a bit for israel, until all of this gets worked out.
john
Posted by: john jay | March 22, 2014 at 12:20 PM